Hindsight Bias

I know a lot of you guys have posted about Hindsight Bias, but for some reason, I didn’t understand it at first. But then I kind of looked up at examples online to help me understand. Hindsight is a term used to explain the tendency of people to overestimate their ability to have predicted an outcome that couldn’t have been predicted. For example, this is what helped me understand the topic, “You are nervous to take an exam for which you waited to study until the very last minute. When you take the exam, you feel unsure about the results; however, when your grade comes back a B+, you exclaim to your friends, “I was sure that I’d aced that exam!” and actually believe it in hindsight.” Now that wasn’t so hard to understand. We can all relate to this in some way.


Link: http://examples.yourdictionary.com/examples-of-hindsight-bias.html

Setting Goals

funny-its-good-to-have-goals-memeJust like the picture says, when it comes to setting goals you must start somewhere, even if it seems extremely easy.  It will be like those Pringles commercials. Once you start with small goals you wont be able to stop!  This dog obviously wanted to be a world champion high jumper and I have no doubt that if he continues to work at it, we might be crowning him as a doggy Olympian one day.

Hindsight Bias

hindsight bias

We spoke about hindsight bias in class and it made me realize how often it happens. I thought this picture was funny, because a part of one of Taylor’s Swift’s song “Trouble” says “I knew you were trouble when you walked in”. Anytime a situation occurs (whether bad or good) we always want to believe we knew the outcome of a situation, especially in relationships.

Exercises in Critical and Creative Thinking

Hello Everyone,

I found an article that has a review of some of the things we covered in class for chapter 10. Such as Mental sets, functional fixedness, the means-end analysis and a few other things. The article goes on about other things that we have not discussed in class but i think it is good information to know because it touches on critical thinking methods. If you only want to look at some of the things we learned from class then you could stop after the “a systematic approach to thinking” section, it touches on the incubation effect from  chapter 10. I like the example that is given for mental sets because even I was tricked. I didn’t get the correct answer because I assumed it was something else even though the correct answer is just as logical.